UK Bank of England minutes (Apr) 09.30 bst
In March, for the first time in well over a year, the Governor achieved his objective of making monetary policy boring. The Bank rate remained unchanged at 0.5 percent and the quantitive easing programme was maintained in its original format.
The news over the past month, relating to both financial markets and the real economy, has shown an improvement. One outstanding question relates to the size of the quantitive easing programme, and whether the additional £75bn authorised by the Chancellor (second half of the overall £150bn) will be exercised by the Bank. The bond markets are largely assuming that the Bank of England will choose to use this full amount, and will be looking for confirmation of this, but is unlikely to be provided by these minutes.
UK Unemployment (Feb/March) 09.30 bst
Employment intentions, according to the Bank of England Agent and PMI surveys, have stabilised, albeit at extremely low levels consistent with ongoing job shedding. The unemployment releases are therefore expected to remain downbeat for the rest of the year. The ILO measure of unemployment will peak at just over 10 percent early next year.
UK Average earnings (Feb) 09.30 bst
In January, average earnings (including bonuses) were lower than year earlier levels for the first time in the series history, reflecting the weakness of financial sector bonuses. Wage growth excluding bonuses remains broadly stable at 3.5 percent.
UK Public finances (Mar) 09.30 bst
Just five months ago, in the November Pre-Budget Report, the Chancellor forecast Public Sector Net Borrowing of £78bn for the 2008/09 fiscal year. Assuming borrowing in March of £21bn, the actual outturn for the full fiscal year would be £96bn.
UK HMT Budget statement 12.30 bst
The Chancellor is expected to announce public sector net borrowing of £177bn for the 2009/10 fiscal year. This would equate to a record 12.5 percent of GDP.
US FHFA house price index (Feb) 15.00 gmt
January's FHFA house price index showed a surprising rise of 1.7 percent. In contrast, the S&P/Case Shiller index continued to drop steadily, falling by 2.8 percent. So far in February, Radar Logic house prices have been relatively stable. The FHFA index is expected to fall 0.8 percent in February, reversing some but not all of January's increase.