welcome to Aventus

 

23/12/08

FTSE 100

4249.16, -37.77

Dow

8519.69, -59.42

FTSE 250

6231.5, -53.6

Nasdaq

1532.35, -31.97

FTSE All Share

2122.42, -18.68

S&P 500

871.63, -16.25

Nikkei

8723.78

Hang Seng

14220.79, -401.6

Oil (Crude)

$39.91

Gold

$847.20

Base Rate

2%

10 Yr Gilt

3.12%

£/$

1.483

Euro/Gbp

0.941


Markets
US markets fell yesterday following light trading volume and concerns over fourth quarter corporate earnings. Retailers fell on concerns that the holiday shopping season could be its worst for 40 years, while falling oil prices dragged the energy sector lower. The auto industry was again in focus following negative comments from Toyota Motor.

The Dow Jones fell 59.42 points to close at 8,519.69, the S&P 500 declined 16.255 points to end at 871.63. The Nasdaq slid 31.97 points to finish at 1,532.35.

Walgreen Co fell 4.2% following its first quarter results. The No 1 US drug store chain posted weaker than expected net income of $408 million or 41 cents a share. Analysts had forecast earnings per share of 46 cents. The company also said it was opening fewer stores than previously planned as consumers cut back on spending.

Manpower slumped after withdrawing its profit outlook following light demand for temporary workers as a result of the global recession. The top US staffing company plunged 14.2%.

The US listed Toyota Motor Corp slid 5% after saying it would suffer an operating loss for the first time in 71 years. General Motors plummeted 21.6% following comments from a Credit Suisse analyst. The brokerage downgraded the stock, whilst warning that the leading automaker may have already been drained of equity leaving shareholders out in the cold.

Caterpillar caused one of the biggest weights on the Dow after saying it would axe 800 jobs at one of its engine plants and cut white collar pay by up to 50%. Shares in the heavy machinery maker slipped 2.1%.

Energy stocks also weighed heavily on the Dow, following another slide in oil prices. Chevron lost 2.1% while Exxon Mobil fell 1.9%.

US light crude oil for February delivery dropped $2.45 to settle at $39.91 a barrel. COMEX gold for February delivery rose $9.80 to $847.20 an ounce. Treasury prices fell, raising the yield on the 10 year note to 2.14% from 2.07%

The Japanese Stock Exchange is closed today.

The Hang Seng dropped 401.60 points to close at 14,220.79 on concerns a smaller than expected interest rate cut in China will fail to prevent the nation's economy from slowing. Cathay Pacific Airways fell 1.9% after the South China Morning Post said the airline posted lower sales.

The FTSE 100 is currently 35.97 points higher at 4,285.13. Stocks are higher for the first time in three days as investors bought shares in companies which are more resilient to the slump in the economy. BAE Systems leads the risers, up 3.8%, Imperial Tobacco adds 2% while Diageo adds 1.5%. On the downside, Cobham loses 1.1% following a downgrade from Goldman Sachs to neutral.

Economics
UK GDP (Q3, final) 09.30 gmt
The final release of Q3 GDP is expected to be unrevised at -0.5 percent. The final GDP release includes additional information on the income side of the accounts, including the savings rate, which is expected to remain very low.

US GDP (Q3, final) 13.30 gmt
The final reading of Q3 GDP is expected to stay at 0.5 percent, and the GDP price deflator is expected to remain at 4.2 percent.

US Existing home sales (Nov) 15.00 gmt
Pending home sales fell 0.7 percent in October, were down 1 percent year on year and 30 percent from their 2005 peak. Existing home sales are down 1.6 percent from a year ago and down 31 percent from late 2005. Existing home sales for November are expected to have fallen to 4.9m, down from 4.98m in October. Pending sales in the west fell 9 percent in October, but are still up 17 percent year on year boosted by foreclosure sales at distressed prices.

US OFHEO house price index (Oct) 15.00 gmt
The September decline of 1.3 percent was the biggest monthly drop so far for the IFHEO purchase-only index. A fall of 1.2 percent in October is expected. This would take the year on year rate to -7.6 percent, down from -7 percent.

US University of Michigan confidence (Dec, final) 15.00 gmt
The preliminary reading improved to 59.1 from 55.3, reflecting a 29 point rise in buying conditions, as consumers cited lower prices. Meanwhile, the ABC consumer comfort index rose slightly to -51, up from -54 two weeks ago. The final Michigan reading is expected to be 59.5 for December. Inflation expectations have been trending lower for the past six months. The preliminary survey showed the five year median falling to 2.7 percent from 2.9 percent, while the one year median fell to 1.7 percent from 2.9 percent.

US New home sales (Nov) 15.00gmt
The latest NAHB homebuilder survey stayed at a record low reading of 9, with the assessment of present and future sales actually slipping slightly. This suggests that we are unlikely to see a meaningful rebound in new home demand this year. Mortgage purchase applications rose 39 percent towards the end of November but have dropped back over the past two weeks. November new home sales are expected to have fallen to 420,000 down from 433,000 in October.


The details published in this e-mail are intended for information only and should not be construed as advice under the Financial Services and Markets Act 2000. Aventus Capital Management will not accept responsibility for any actions taken (or not taken) on the basis of information published in this e-mail. 

Aventus Capital Management is a trading name of Rickerbys LLP (OC328675) registered in England and Wales, registered office Ellenborough House, Wellington Street, Cheltenham GL50 1YD. A list of the Members of Rickerbys LLP will be provided on request or can be inspected at this address. Aventus is a trade mark and the “A” logo is a registered trade mark of Rickerbys LLP. Rickerbys LLP is regulated by the Solicitors Regulation Authority. Authorised and regulated by the Financial Services Authority. 

 

 


What's going on