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24/9/08

FTSE 100 5136.12, -100.14 Dow 10854.17, -161.52
FTSE 250 8454.58, -298.43 Nasdaq 2153.33, -25.65
FTSE All Share 2611.14, -55.97 S&P 500 1188.22, -18.87
Nikkei 11982.59, +24.44 Hang Seng 19134.3, +261.48
Oil (Crude) $106.61 Gold $891.20
Base Rate 5% 10 Yr Gilt 4.625%
£/$ 1.859 Euro/Gbp 0.789

Markets
US stocks slumped yesterday as investors worried that the proposed $700 billion bank bailout would be delayed, following a heated debate in Congress. Treasury Secretary Henry Paulson and Federal Reserve Chairman Ben Bernanke told the Senate Banking Committee that any delay would put the economy at risk. But lawmakers questioned the lack of detail in the plan and whether more provisions are needed to protect the taxpayer.

The current proposal will allow the Treasury to buy up, at a discount, bruised assets held by troubled financial firms and then sell them later at a profit. With the bad debts off companies balance sheets it is hoped that banks would be willing to lend to each other again, therefore loosening up credit markets.

The Dow Jones dropped 161.52 points to close at 10,854.17, the S&P 500 slipped 18.87 points to end at 1,188.22. The Nasdaq fell 25.65 points to finish at 2,153.33.

Bank of America finished 2.5% lower after Oppenheimer & Co analyst Meredith Whitney cut her profit outlook on the No. 2 US bank. She cut her profit outlook on the company and forecast more dividend cuts for banks in general. As well, she suggested that the government's rescue plan had little hope of improving core fundamentals over the near and medium future.

General Electric also suffered after a downgrade, courtesy of Goldman Sachs, who cut their profit outlook for the diversified manufacturer. Shares declined 4.6%.

Technology shares had led an early rally as investors felt they were the best placed to gain if the government's bailout plan is passed. But as the congressional wrangling continued through the day technology shares also turned negative. Apple Inc slipped 3.2%, while Microsoft edged 0.2% lower.

After the close, Warren Buffett's Berkshire Hathaway surprised investors, giving the financial sector a huge boost. Goldman Sachs announced that it will receive a $5 billion infusion from Buffett's investment vehicle, in return for preferred stock as well as warrants to purchase $5 billion of common stock with a strike price of $115 per share. Berkshire have five years to exercise the warrants. Shares in Goldman Sachs jumped 8.4% after the news, while Morgan Stanley surged 9.5%.

US light crude oil for October delivery fell $2.76 to close at $106.61 a barrel. COMEX gold for December delivery dropped $17.80 to settle at $891.20 an ounce. Treasury prices rose, lowering the yield on the 10 year note to 3.81% from 3.83%.

The Nikkei gained 24.44 points to close at 11,982.59 this morning after banks took advantage of depressed prices to invest in overseas rivals. Mitsubishi UFJ Financial Group Inc, the country's biggest lender by value, climbed for the third day after saying it will buy as much as 20% of Morgan Stanley. Nomura Holdings Inc continued a three day 26% rally after agreeing to buy the European unit of Lehman Brothers.

The Hang Seng is currently 261.48 points higher at 19,134.3 after crude oil prices dropped, easing concern inflation will curb demand and erode earnings. Cathay Pacific Airways Ltd rose 2% after crude slipped yesterday. CLP Holdings Ltd, Hong Kong's biggest power utility, climbed 1.6%, leading gains among utilities as investors favour stocks that can withstand a slowing economy.

The FTSE 100 is currently 6.68 points lower at 6,129.44. British Energy leads the risers, up 6%, after Centrica said it was in talks with France's EDF about taking a 25 percent interest in the nuclear operator. Smiths Group is 3.1% higher after posting a 10% rise in underlying full year profit and announcing that it has won a long-term design and supply contracts on US military communications programmes worth a potential £225 million.

Economics
UK CBI distributive trades report (Sept)11.00 bst

With the official retail sales numbers proving suspiciously resilient, the BoE may well be placing additional weight on other indicators of consumer spending, such as this survey. The reported sales component of this survey reached a record low in August, and it not expected to show a market improvement in September.

US Existing home sales (Aug) 15.00 bst

Pending home sales fell 3.2 percent in July, after a 5.8 percent rise in June. Pending sales are down 32 percent from their late 2005 peak, roughly consistent with the cumulative decline in existing home sales. August existing sales are expected to hold steady at 5m. Regionally, July pending sales fell 10.6 percent in the West but rose 2.8 percent in the Midwest.

US Bernanke testimony 15.00 bst

US Bernanke testimony Fed Chairman Bernanke testifies to the Joint Economic Committee on the economy and should also focus on the ongoing financial market crisis. The September 16TH FOMC statement noted a recent "softening in export growth", in addition to reiterating tight credit conditions, weak labor markets and the ongoing housing contraction. The FOMC stated the downside growth risks and upside inflation risks were "both of significant concern". Bernanke, however, will probably spend most of this time discussing the crisis and the recent government bailouts.

The details published in this e-mail are intended for information only and should not be construed as advice under the Financial Services and Markets Act 2000. Aventus Capital Management will not accept responsibility for any actions taken (or not taken) on the basis of information published in this e-mail. 

Aventus Capital Management is a trading name of Rickerbys LLP (OC328675) registered in England and Wales, registered office Ellenborough House, Wellington Street, Cheltenham GL50 1YD. A list of the Members of Rickerbys LLP will be provided on request or can be inspected at this address. Aventus is a trade mark and the “A” logo is a registered trade mark of Rickerbys LLP. Rickerbys LLP is regulated by the Solicitors Regulation Authority. Authorised and regulated by the Financial Services Authority. 

 

 


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